The good news is that November 1 kicks off Branson's Christmas season at the shows and at Silver Dollar City's amazing light displays, so you can enjoy an early start and still get what you're looking for.
We have been to Branson several times in early November in our fifth-wheel, back to the time when Andy Williams was still singing. The word in Branson was "It's Christmas in Branson when Andy Williams says it's Christmas!"
We have been fortunate to have had beautiful weather on every trip. I know it can be different, but this has been our experience.