pianotuna wrote:
For the latest data available
21 million Canadians visited USA
12.5 million American's visited Canada
“This is clearly the currency at play,” he wrote in a BMO trends report, adding, “Note that even now, there are still two Canadians travelling to the U.S. for every one American visiting Canada. In the 1970s and early 1980s, the ratio was 1:1.”
So USA will be on the wrong side of the scale, economically.
Your logic is flawed. Raw numbers of travelers is not as important as the percentage of business those travelers represent. In 2019 the US had 79.6 million foreign visitors. That makes Canadians 26% of foreign travel and tourism. For comparison, Canada had 21 million foreign visitors. That means US visitors accounted for nearly 60% of Canadian foreign travel and tourism. Clearly the loser in a tit for tat tourism lockout between the US and Canada would be Canada.