Forum Discussion
silversand
Aug 15, 2016Explorer
And, according to the Farmers Almanac, snow showers the first week of November. And, as usual, below normal temps this winter...
It would be interesting to compare the Almanac long-term forecast to the CPC NCEP long-range 2 class 3 month/6 month outlook :B
NCEP reports for the Oct, Nov, Dec time block 55/45 for warmer than average temps for all the states from Pennsylvania down to Florida. And, for the Northeast, a 70/30 for warmer than average temps for the same period.
For the Nov, Dec, Jan time block, they calculate an equal chance 50/50 for above or below normal temps. However, for the Northeast, it is 55/45 for New Hampshire, Vermont and Mass., and 60/40 for the southern half of Maine above average temps.
Precip for Mid Atlantic to Maine is equal chance above or below normal for Oct, Nov, Dec. And, from South Carolina down to northern Florida, 60~70/40~30 for below normal precip for Oct, Nov, Dec (very dry). This will be the same or drier for the same region over the entire 2017 winter (with Florida locked in perhaps a very dry/winter drought).
On edit: the 2015/2016 winter was the warmest winter on record over the entire US going back an astounding 121 years (and most of Canada; especially from Manitoba to Ontario to Quebec); including if you live from Pennsylvania to Maine, and South/North Dakota and Minnesota to Montana. Even Anchorage had no snow on the ground for the first time (February!) on record: Washington Post article-->
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