Hurricane Florence

As long as the eye remains over warm water it will decay slowly. Once over land it will decay rapidly & become a huge rain maker as it rapidly becomes nothing more than a depression. As a cat 2 storm the coast N & E of center will get serious licks from onshore winds. Coast S & W Of center will get offshore winds. What you get depends on where you are in relation to the eye.

OK here is a link to this evenings Tropical Tidbit. These are posted once a day when there are storms out there by some fellow known as Levi. He gives a clear high level video discussion, about 15 minutes long or so describing why these storms do what they do. For instance he tells you why Florence will probably stall off the coast.

I urge that you subscribe to this if you live anywhere near the SE coastline. He spends the first 10 or 11 minutes on Florence in this edition and the last few minutes on the other 3 storms plus that disturbance off Texas.

Florence is a killer storm and people who stay behind who are close to the shore line are fools. This could be the Carolina's Andrew event. A storm so terrible that it led to the complete re-writing of the building code in Florida. Something that the Carolina's ignored.

magnusfide wrote:
Looks like there's a new track across the southeast US after it makes landfall. It will head more westerly instead of bankshots up the coast.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/032641.shtml?cone

And that's a conservative estimate, quite a few of the models are now saying it parks over Wilmington area just offshore for a 24-36 hours and then slowly moves down the coast making landfall near Savannah. If that happens then flooding will be truly unprecedented.

Looks like there's a new track across the southeast US after it makes landfall. It will head more westerly instead of bankshots up the coast.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/032641.shtml?cone

magnusfide wrote:
Prayers for our first responders in the path too.

X2
And that is why people SHOULD evacuate.

We have all seen the horrific TV footage over and over and over again of ER responders putting thier lives in danger dragging people/families out of their homes and rushing waters, etc. It still eludes me WHY people stay and put their families AND the emergency rescue people in such life threatening danger. Especially when they are given such 'advance notice'. :(

drmopar wrote:
Thanks for your service!

You're very welcome!

Prayers for our first responders in the path too.

Thanks for your service!

Reader1 wrote:
I understand that some may make the decisions not to leave even though there is a mandatory evacuation order and I guess that is your choice. I am watching a show about the firefighters who gave their lives on 9/11. My son-in-law is a firefighter and EMT. I don't know if first-respnders must stay during mandatory evacuations but if they do please think about those who will be putting their lives on the line for you if you do decide to stay.

They stay but hunker down until the worst is over so they can then respond to emergencies quickly. They don't risk their lives in the worst of the storm for people who ignored the evacuation order. That would be insane. As a retired Deputy Sheriff I can tell you that in my neck of the woods, there would sometimes be snow storms so bad that the roadways would be impassable with several feet of snow on the roads and there would be no visibility. We would have to wait it out until the weather improved and plows could clear the roads so we could respond. You're of no help if you crash or worse yet, die, trying to get somewhere to help someone that didn't heed the warnings and subsequent order.

I understand that some may make the decisions not to leave even though there is a mandatory evacuation order and I guess that is your choice. I am watching a show about the firefighters who gave their lives on 9/11. My son-in-law is a firefighter and EMT. I don't know if first-respnders must stay during mandatory evacuations but if they do please think about those who will be putting their lives on the line for you if you do decide to stay.