Well, ctraveler, I am disappointed to hear you say my post is political. To me, a political post advocates a certain policy outcome. That's ok when posters do that -- there are several political posts in this thread already, but they are civil, so I am hoping that the thread does not get closed.
By contrast, my original post is not designed to advocate for any specific outcome. I just asked what is likely to happen. Not what ought to happen.
And, just to refresh the thread, if anyone disagrees with my predictions or would like to amplify, please feel free to do so -- this is a seminar, not a lecture! ;)
