Forum Discussion
silversand
Jan 05, 2015Explorer
It's quite amazing to read the temperature departures from normal (DFN) in Florida. Example, Nov 2014, Pensacola's departure from normal was -6 F from the 54.7F average! Now, down in Orlando, their DFN for November 2014 was -3.2F; and all the way south at Key West, their DFN was a staggering -2.5F (worse than Miami region!).
The departures may not look Earth-shattering, but consider that Pensacola's DFN represents a drop of 10.9% and Orlando's drop is 4.9% in the average over the month!
I graphed the temperature average for Orlando winter season from 1964 to 2013 looking for patterns or cycles, and found that from about 1991, Orlando has a steady cyclical 4~5 year roll from peak high average, to a peak low average. Years 2013 and 2014 are in a very low average dip now (ie. a very cold average in the cycle), so we expect 2015, 2016 and 2017 to be up-swing temperature years...I chose Orlando because it is fairly near the geographical centroid of the peninsula; well, close enough, because I had to choose a place with reliable long-term climate data near center of peninsula :B Let's see how this plays out over the next 3 years!
I have yet to do the above for the RGV region...
The departures may not look Earth-shattering, but consider that Pensacola's DFN represents a drop of 10.9% and Orlando's drop is 4.9% in the average over the month!
I graphed the temperature average for Orlando winter season from 1964 to 2013 looking for patterns or cycles, and found that from about 1991, Orlando has a steady cyclical 4~5 year roll from peak high average, to a peak low average. Years 2013 and 2014 are in a very low average dip now (ie. a very cold average in the cycle), so we expect 2015, 2016 and 2017 to be up-swing temperature years...I chose Orlando because it is fairly near the geographical centroid of the peninsula; well, close enough, because I had to choose a place with reliable long-term climate data near center of peninsula :B Let's see how this plays out over the next 3 years!
I have yet to do the above for the RGV region...
About Campground 101
Recommendations, reviews, and the inside scoop from fellow travelers.14,739 PostsLatest Activity: Dec 08, 2025