Supply vs Demand: we're at the peak

goducks10 wrote:
Not only that the worker shortage is huge. Anyone that can pass a drug test is hired. Skills not needed.

That is FR's and Lippert's credo. If it breathes and pass a whizz test, hire it.

Isn't much 'skill' involved anyway, the
Amish Craftsmen take care of the skilled labor part... (chucking about that).

Last time I was at the Palomino plant in Colon, Michigan (to get some parts and be nosy), I don't live that far from there, I walked in through the front office (instead of the plant which I usually do) and as soon as I cleared the front door, a pretty lass came up to me and asked me if I was applying for a job. I told her no, I was just nosing around and wanting to get some cabinet hardware.

She seemed disapointed. I guess middle aged males that actually dress nice and can speak in a sentence are a rare commodity there.

I could have went to work immediately, I can certainly pass any drug screen but a 60 mile commute one way to work to trip my trigger at all.

In defense of Palomino, I have a 2 year old unit and I've never had any build related issues with it and I find the people in Colon, Michigan, at the plant to go out of their way to be accomodating, they even let me buy parts there direct.

I think I'd recommend a Palomino product actually. So long as it wasn't built on a Friday afternoon, a Monday morning on the last thing on a pay day. Those events could cause the unit to be a bust.

Looking in my crystal ball, I predict that the boom has peaked and that it's going to go the other way now. Money is going to get tighter, interest rates will go up and only so many people can afford a new RV today and a lot of those potential buyers are now aware that there is a big quality issue.

I think the used, late model market will stay strong simply because the majority of used units are practically new anyway. Very few owners use them more than a couple times a year and used units have the new, lack of quality issues addressed and finally, the depreciation curve is very steep on a new, never titled unit so savvy buyers let the first owner take the depreciation and build quality hit and buy used. Makes a bunch of sense to me.