agesilaus wrote:
Some town in Germany finally did some moderately large scale antibody testing and found that 15% of the people in town had antibodies. Most probably never knew that they had the WuFlu. If applied to the whole country it woul drop their mortality rate to less than 0.4%:
MIT review
"From the result of their blood survey, the German team estimated the death rate in the municipality at 0.37% overall, a figure significantly lower than what’s shown on a dashboard maintained by Johns Hopkins, where the death rate in Germany among reported cases is 2%."
I think that would make the US rate about 0.6%, assuming you could apply those numbers to the US which is a stretch. More antibodies testing results are expected to pour in within the next week or 10 days so we will finally have some data. Sorry to disapoint all those hoping for massive die offs.
That is very interesting, particularly the last quote from the article:
Streeck and colleagues wrote:
They think if people avoid getting big doses of the virus—which can happen in hospitals or via close contact with someone infected—fewer people will become severely ill, “while at the same time developing immunity” that can help finally end the outbreak.
Notice they said “big” doses. i wonder if we are doing more harm than good by completely isolating rather than just avoiding close contact? Maybe a virus cell or two from a grocery bag isn’t a bad thing for most us? The problem is those lab studies where “the virus can live for X time on Y surface” have already succeeded at scaring enough people.
