RambleOnNW wrote:
agesilaus wrote:
The actual truth is that none of the folks you link to know, you don't know and I don't know. And if it is ever known it will be after this is all over. Tho I doubt we will ever get good numbers on that. The CDC on modeling has shown itself to be less than reliable and tends to the hysterical. But doctors always do so. It's in their nature to be over cautious.
Actually I do know. All the people listed as dying from Covid-19 died from Covid-19 and were certified by coroners offices.
And many more died from Covid-19 and were not tested by coroners offices due to lack of tests for the last 2.5 months.
Here is the most recent guidance from the CDC:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pdf. It gives direction to use Covid-19 as the cause of death when there’s a “reasonable degree of certainty” to do so. So no testing doesn’t preclude counting them.
Even more interesting is their previous March 4th guidance (
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/coronavirus/Alert-1-Guidance-for-Certifying-COVID-19-Deaths.pdf) where they said, “assumed to have caused or contributed to death.”
Assumed to have contributed? That’s pretty liberal toward increasing the count and could easily offset any missed cases.
