time2roll wrote:
SidecarFlip wrote:
My only comment is, the grid as it presently stands won't support mass electric vehicles.
The good thing is we only need about 20% improvement to fully support EV transportation and we have 20+ years to achieve that improvement.
No, not so fast.
Sidecar is pointing out the "elephant in the room" that absolutely is ignored by all that "want" everyone to buy EV.
The "grid" as it stands today is not "growing" in power plants and infrastructure in order to support a 100% all electric based road system.
MANY coal power plants have been shuttered a few yrs back, and this trend at this time is not stopping.
Very few NEW NG based plants have been added to replace the coal plants. The few new Nuclear plants that were under contract and being built have had the plug pulled indefinitely on the projects and some of the existing Nuclear plants ARE being shuttered 10-15 yrs AHEAD of their expected scheduled shutdown.
Solar, well it IS expensive, only works for 5-6hrs per day on good clear days and not very well for northern states, only about 20yrs of life expectancy means a very expensive project to refresh the aging panels down the road. Lots of electronic waste in the process of making solar panels (some very hazardous materials are required to make the panels).
Wind power, yeah, only works when the wind blows fast enough, very little good places that have 24/7/365 constant wind above 15 MPH makes it pretty unreliable at best and not to mention uses a lot of fiberglass and resin (not "Earth Friendly").
Hydro electric? Yeah, not going to find any friends there to get more HE Dams built, in fact HE faces a big uphill battle to stay in place with many dams being REMOVED over the last few yrs to appease environmental interests in game and fishing.
Coal and NG power plants typically have much lower operating costs resulting in much lower power bills. Nuclear, HE, Solar, Wind power ARE by far much costlier to build, operate and maintain, all of those costs ARE directly paid by you the end user..
It should also be noted that it takes time to rampup power production (spin up a alternator) so there are backup power generating plants that are running "at idle" during low usage periods and during high usage times are added to the grid. Some of the backup plants can include Diesel gens..
Haven't even got to the actual power grid, there are considerable amount of land in the US with ZERO grid access and will never have grid power since there will never be enough customers per line miles to be worth the cost to build and maintain such a system to the POCO.
Not to mention that folks soon forget about the blackouts, the last major one was back in 2003 spanning the Northeast US into limited parts of Canada and affected 50 MILLION people for up to one day.
Much of the US grid infrastructure is old and antiquated and has not been updated with larger feedlines, tranformers and switching equipment..
How soon folks forget history..
Heck 25 yrs ago when I bought my home I had an issue with the hole house A/C I had installed would shut down my sat equipment.. Yeah, the sat equipment was designed to operate at no less than 105V, the A/C startup surge was dropping the voltage below 105V! For the record, I had UPGRADED my service entrance from a 50A fuse box to a 200A breaker panel..
Had the POCO come in, they measured my voltage at my panel, then at the pole pig, the drop was coming from THEIR HIGH VOLTAGE LINES BEFORE THE POLE PIG!. The "fix", well the POCO put in huge pole mounted BOOSTERS 2 miles from my home in between the substation that was only 2 miles from the boosters!
POCO explained to me that the lines NEEDED to be upgraded due to the large amount of homes built since the lines wer put in many, many years before but for now the fix was the voltage boosters..
EV is fine for those who have subsidized CHEAP electric, my electric at one time WAS very cheap, used to cost me not more than $30 per month 25yrs ago, now my average electric bill is $130 per month and growing..
I would hate to see what my electric bill would be if I have all EV for commuting with driving 500 miles per week, costs me $60 per week in gas but I can assure you the way the electric bill is rigged with all of the % fees tacked on I would be seeing much more than $240 increase per month for electric!
Nearly 50% of my electric bill is generation taxes, maintenance taxes, local taxes, fed taxes and all but the fed taxes are a PERCENTAGE of the electric cost..
Yeah, my "base generation rate" is $.07 per Kwhr but the final bill comes to $.12 per Kwhr at the current $130 bill.. IF I use more power the taxes and fees go way up.. It wouldn't take much for me to have a $400-$500 electric bill.. and I am lucky, only a couple of miles from me there ARE folks stuck on REA (Rural Electrification Act) Co-Op that pay TWICE the rate I pay (the Co-Op buys at HIGHER commercial POCO rates then adds an addition FEE to resell to it's customers!