All of the governors get their projections from a website that was set up for the purpose. This website uses numbers from Imperial in the UK. Neil Ferguson's Imperial projections (read "projections" as: "a guesstimate") have been way, way too high so far in nearly every country. Oxford has done their own projections, and the model they use has proven more accurate. Oxford's numbers indicate much lower total deaths. UK death estimates have gone from 500,000 to only about 20,000, and the UK government officially no longer considers Covid19 to be in the same danger category as SARS or MERS. But our governors continue to be fed worst-case numbers from Imperial. (I think our President is skeptical of those projections, but he has to be cautious.)
Stanford has a nobel laureate recipient doing research on this virus, and his numbers show that the US is likely to peak much lower and much earlier than the Imperial projections. The LA Times and OANN both carried this story. We are likely to peak sometime this month.
