westernrvparkowner wrote:
CavemanCharlie wrote:
Tough spot to be in for everyone.
My sister who lived in Boston for many years is snow birding in Florida right now. She has,,had, a friend from Boston that has died from this thing. He was healthy and in his late 50's. He contacted it at some sort of international convention held in Boston that he went to as part of his business.
Hopefully, this all blows over by the 4th of July and then everyone can argue about how it really wasn't all that bad. But, if nothing is done and then people then die in large numbers people will still argue over how nothing was done.
This is the first time in my 56 years that I feel bad for the politicians. Dammed if they do and dammed if they don't.
There are 11800 people in my county. I figure best case 70 of them die from this. (Not so bad really). That is On Top Of what have would have died before from other things. Most likely 120 of them will die. That is the population of my town. Seems like a larger number when you put it like that.
I would not count on any large parks to open before July. Most of them will be shut all year. Minneapolis already announced that all beaches and pools are shut for the whole summer.
I think your calculations are off. In the hardest hit state, New York, there is approximately 120,000 confirmed cases with about 4100 deaths. New York state has a population of nearly 20 million, so the infection rate is less than 1% and the death rate among the confirmed infected is less than 4%. Even applying double those percentages of the most infected state to your county of 11800 Than would give you about 236 people infected out of which 9 would die. And since fatal cases are concentrated in the elderly with underlying health conditions at least a couple of those deaths would come out of the 70 who normally die each year. That makes your annual death toll in the county about 77 instead of 70. Significant to the families of the extra 7 deaths, but not an apocalyptic depopulating event.
Let's not inject any common sense type thinking into Tanya of this now!
