HTElectrical wrote:
John & Angela wrote:
azdryheat wrote:
There are that many $100k Tesla cars running around to justify so many pumps?
Just under three hundred thousand on the road and that expected to double in the next year. By the end of 2018 there are 350,000 per year and by end 2019 450,000 per year. His view is that the infrastructure needs to be in place for that kind of growth. Right now there are over 1000 locations with over 7000 individual chargers. That number will double within two years. The biggest stations are in China although this one is baker is one of the two biggest in the USA. The other is in Kettleman. Here is a video of that one. Shows the lounge, coffee and area, dog walk area etc. It just opened up last week. It looks like you could get a Model X towing a trailer through the stalls. There are a few people towing small air strea,s and pop ups with them. At many superchargers you have to unhook the trailer from the Tesla but with the drive through you can just go through. Looks tight but I think it would fit.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Wkc7PUSyR0
.
The trailer belows weighs 2350 pounds and the Tesla X pulls it from 0-60 in 5,5 seconds. It is rated for 4000 or 5000 pounds depending on configuration.
That is VERY VERY optomistic. They have been manufacturing cars for 14 YEARS and only delivered 300,000!!!
They haven't even been able to hit there 5,000 per week goal yet, which they were suppose to reach by the end of the year, instead, that has been pushed to March of 2018.
I agree that it is optimistic but he has also never had three lines before so I can see how it would be possible. My guess is this year he'll finish out with around 110,000 cars for the year.
Re building for 14 years of building. I think the roadster came out around 2008 or 2009 so he has been at it for around 8 or 9 years. The first production model S came out around mid 2012 though so he is still relatively inexperienced at high production car manufacturing.
Right for the last couple months a lot of people have been cancelling their model 3's and been buying the model s's. This probably works well for him as the margins are higher on those. Tesla normally has a reasonable inventory of S's and X's but right now it is close to zero so demand has been good. The next 3 months will be interesting. I suspect he'll get a couple thousand more three's out this year and then see the ramp up next january february. A lot of people waiting for their new toys. :) We'll wait a couple or three years till the piggy bank is fuller. :)
