The 500,000 plus pre-order plus number is considered legit but the expected drop out rate is close to a third so most analysts feel the real number of pre-sold units is probably around 300,000. Presently there are no real competitors as the Bolt is considered a sport economy car and the New generation leaf an economy sedan. The model 3 is directly aimed at the BMW 3 series so more along the lines of entry level luxury sedan. BMW is expected to have an upgrade to their I3 in 2018 as well but the advantage will go to Tesla because of the supercharger network which continues to grow reasonably quick. The new generation leaf will continue to find a market because it's not expensive has a decent range and for folks like Angela and I who do most of our charging at home and only occasionally need the Chademo fast charge network it's not worth spending the extra 12 to 20 grand.
The next big unveil is Sept 6th for the second gen Nissan Leaf. Expected to have a starting range of 270 ish kilometres and up depending on options. We are good with the 200 we get now for a few more years or until we retire then we'll get something with around 300 KM or so. The charge infrastructure will be so built out by then that a bigger battery wouldn't be worth pretty anything to us. At least in this province.
