tony lee wrote:
I'm not opposed to new technology once it matures beyond the tinkering stage and enthusiastic early adopter confirmation bias stage to become a bonafide plug and play consumer product, but I do find it a bit amusing to read projected cents per Ah costs based on totally theoretical number of charge-discharge cycles AND which totally ignore the opportunity costs of paying 10 times the going rate ten years early. Add that cost into the equation plus add the costs of the inevitable human or electronic failure resulting in destruction of an expensive item, and I suggest the supposed economic benefits would suddenly evaporate.
Not sure if you're referring to my posts or not, but.....
1) Similar logic when I advised my cousin who was developing a plan to go full time to us Golf Cart batteries instead....of course that was a year or so ago and he was looking into drop and go units (like Smart Battery) that are quite a bit more than that Balqon unit AND he was looking at bus conversions (lot's of space and weight capacity).
2) Larger scale LiFePO4 batteries are in wide use in a lot of areas, electric vehicle conversions, electric bicycles, Ham radio, many enthusiasts have demonstrated their ability to reach significant cycle levels.
3) If someone were willing to pay the upfront cost for lifelines or another premium brand then the Balqon pricing (cheapest I've been able to find) makes it a wash on cost so you'd only need to get your 1000 cycles to be even. AND you'd be getting the benefit of less weight, less volume and less self discharge and better discharge profile.
4) In case you didn't notice, I use a lot of IFs and ANDs because I'm not sold either for MY particular application.
5) I only throw this info out there because so many are willing to dismiss it as a possibility out of hand with little to no factual evidence to back that position up
For me, in a TC, the reductions in weight and volume are worth quite a bit, but again still not sold. I actually wouldn't have considered it at all before my cousin recently pointed me to that Balqon site and their pricing is amazing for what you get IF the info is solid. 5 year warranty on the drop in solutions and on the single cells.
Balqon is really into commercial applications and maybe that's why they are the cheapest around. It is also a good indication that they will likely be around for a while since they have a lot of contracts for commercial electric vehicles.
cheers,
hbski