Anyone traveling to Vermont for leaf season?

[stew47]

Anyone traveling to Vermont? Are there covid restrictions?

[JaxDad]

stew47 wrote:
“There’s no evil conspiracy, just a computer algorithm. “

Good that’s easy to figure out... their algorithm is wrong. There’s no sin in that. It happens. Needs more work and more input.

With all due respect, no, it is not wrong, it is intentionally skewed. It is not meant to be a definitive case count, it is a guide to who’s in a safer or riskier area.

In dealing with a deadly virus I doubt anyone could fault them for wanting to be cautious.

[stew47]

“There’s no evil conspiracy, just a computer algorithm. “

Good that’s easy to figure out... their algorithm is wrong. There’s no sin in that. It happens. Needs more work and more input.

[stew47]

What did I miss?

[Geo_Boy]

dedmiston wrote:
I've deleted all the comments from TxGearhead. It's safe to return to this thread now.

Thank you.

[dedmiston]

I've deleted all the comments from TxGearhead. It's safe to return to this thread now.

[magicbus]

JaxDad wrote:
There’s no evil conspiracy, just a computer algorithm.

Never let reading the fine print prevent a good conspiracy theory.

Dave

[JaxDad]

The website very clearly says “ The most recent infection data is pulled once a week from Johns Hopkins University's (“Johns Hopkins”) COVID-19 GitHub repository and the New York Department of Health’s website, then put through a viral load algorithm to assess an estimated number of active cases per million for gauging relative risk of interstate travel.“.

Again “... assess an estimated number of active cases...”.


There’s no evil conspiracy, just a computer algorithm.

[stew47]

I think John Hopkins is full of it. I don’t have the time to go through and look at a bunch of counties. I did pick hillsborough county new hamphsire since it’s where one poster is from. 222 cases per million. Should be pretty accurate as there’s 400000 residents. Then oxford courty Maine. They have 5 cases. 50000 residents so that’s 100 per million. I’m starting to think Vermont may destroy their fall tourist season based on bs info. Whether it’s intentional isn’t something I could guess.

[Crowe]

pitch wrote:

ACZL wrote:
I was once told by a former RV club member to which we were members of that " Figures don't lie, but liars can figure".

So who is lying?

I don't think he's implying anyone is "lying" here but that numbers can be manipulated to get the result you want, following the "Statistics don't lie but statisticians do" mantra.

[pitch]

ACZL wrote:
I was once told by a former RV club member to which we were members of that " Figures don't lie, but liars can figure".

So who is lying?

[ACZL]

I was once told by a former RV club member to which we were members of that " Figures don't lie, but liars can figure".

[DrewE]

They give the sources for the data: John Hopkins University and the New York Department of Health. The map is updated weekly, so things may well (probably will) change around some by the time foliage season peaks. It does make planning in advance quite difficult--both for those traveling into the state and for those in the state desiring to travel elsewhere, since the quarantine requirements naturally also apply to returning residents.

[Crowe]

Crowe wrote:

stew47 wrote:
Well scratch that. Our county is in the 400 to 799 column. Which doesn’t make sense cause we currently have 20 positives and population of 100000.

They base it on a per million ratio, which puts the number above what they want.

The website says it's "estimated" cases so it seems somewhat arbitrary. Their state, their rules I guess.

[stew47]

Crowe wrote:

stew47 wrote:
Well scratch that. Our county is in the 400 to 799 column. Which doesn’t make sense cause we currently have 20 positives and population of 100000.

They base it on a per million ratio, which puts the number above what they want.

It’s pretty easy for us with a population of 100000. Take 20 times 10. I don’t know where they obtain their figures but in our case they are wrong.