2021 trips already being canceled.

fj12ryder wrote:

Lantley wrote:
During the 1918 Pandemic, the closest thing we know about to compare to our current scenario to,650K people died. The 2nd wave was the worst. It is said people had virus fatigue and were reluctant to shut down a 2nd time.
There was also a 3rd wave in 1918. It took five years from the start for the country to forget about the pandemic back then
We maybe following in their footsteps.
Unfortunately life as usual is not around the corner.

You can't compare the Spanish flu to this virus. They are orders of magnitude different. If this virus were anything like the Spanish flu, there would be over 2 million fatalities in the US. So far it's about one tenth that. The Spanish flu was bad because it attacked the young and healthy disproportionately. This virus does not, it is most serious with people who have several underlying conditions. Last I read about 90% of the fatalities had 2 or more underlying illnesses.

And they're already starting to hedge about the efficacy of the vaccine, saying it will probably be about as effective as the seasonal flu vaccine. IOW, not very. And will most likely have to be gotten every year, just like the seasonal flu shots.

At the end of the day I think the biggest difference is we have modern technology vs. back then.
However if you look at photos from the 1918 Pandemic you will see mask wearing, and reactions similar to what we have today.
To some degree our modern technology may help us , but vaccines are not a sure thing just yet.
We can't agree to wear mask nevertheless get a vaccine. There was already and anti Vax movement before the pandemic.
I do agree vaccines have the potential to be a game changer, but it premature to say how effective they will be.
Remember according to accounts the 2nd wave was the worst. By the 3rd wave things were improving. Currently it appears the virus is spiking world wide. Is the 2nd wave upon us now? How for off are vaccines?
I'm no virus expert I'm just giving data and accounts the 1918 Pandemic. Is it relevant to what we are going through now.
You can decide for yourself. But I will reiterate.
"If we don't learn from our past history we are bound to repeat it"
I did not make that up... someone came up with that bit of advice long before the pandemic and long before me.....LOL