Coronavirus practical issues

TechWriter wrote:
In the most effective mitigation strategy examined, which leads to a single, relatively short epidemic (case isolation, household quarantine and social distancing of the elderly), the surge limits for both general ward and ICU beds would be exceeded by at least 8-fold under the more optimistic scenario for critical care requirements that we examined. In addition, even if all patients were able to be treated, we predict there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB, and 1.1-1.2 million in the US.

BCSnob wrote:

bid_time wrote:
By my calculation 1.2 million deaths is 0.3%, 10 times less then the 3% death rate you predicted earlier.

mortality rate for a disease is the number of deaths caused the the disease divided by the number of infected people (not the total population).

Since 80% of the people that get the disease have symptoms so mild that they don't require hospitalization and don't get tested, the only reliable data you have is -

What are your chances of succumbing to the disease. 0.3%.

Those are the only known facts, All else is nothing but speculation.