Hurricane warning for southern Baja & Mazatlan

ENSO sea surface temps are eye-opening warm for this time of year, few meteorological "norms" apply. Rash is the person who tries to predict exactly what is going to happen in the next 24-72 hours. Have you noticed the number of words like "Unexpected" "unpredicted" "Unusually Rapid" and "Erratic" that were part of the NWS NOAA forecast nomenclature this summer and autumn? Even the Coriolis Effect has been psychotic in 2015.

Plan for the worst, hope for the best.

The site that I monitor is http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ this site gives me both sides of Mexico, with the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico being the principal and the Pacific coast the secondary.

It is late in the season and this hurricane being so strong so far out might get stronger before hitting land, if it does heed the warnings and move inland for protection, the wind is your No 1 worry with the water flooding and mud slides being second.

Remember that in an emergency you need to be prepared to be on your own for a few days until general services are brought back and food is delivered, conserve your water, battery power and fuel, specially fuel some times underground tanks get contaminated with water.

navegator

That is what they said about Patricia. I no longer take any chances, especially with the ocean temperature as high as it is. I have a caravan I am responsible for. I have seen what Patricia did to some RV's.

The National Hurricane Center, the people who actually do this for a living and send planes into the hurricanes, call it a tropical storm by the time it hits (more or less) Baja Sur.. lots of rain and some wind heading towards the west coast, http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?5-daynl#contents