Forum Discussion
agesilaus
May 13, 2020Explorer III
spoon059 wrote:agesilaus wrote:
Antibody testing all over the country has been finding that roughly 3% of the population have been infected. DFW has about 6 million population that would mean about 190,000 people have been infected if the 3% value is right for that area.
From what I am hearing (wife is nurse, both sisters are nurses, brother in law is adult respiratory therapist at a MAJOR hospital in Baltimore, as well as a friend's wife who works at NIH) the antibody tests are very inaccurate.
Some of the first ones done before FDA had approved a test, the CA test for example, had about a 1% false positive and that was problematic. Plus that test was highly non representative of the population. They solicited people on FB and so got a heavily white female test group. That test was not FDA approved tho and those FDA tests are much better and they are the tests being used now.
The CA people went back and retested the same area and got roughly the same numbers. Furthermore the fact that these tests are mostly falling in the same range is a confirmation that they are generating real numbers. The test results in hot spots like NYC are much higher, inside NYC the are getting like 25% positive numbers and 3% in the NY state areas away from the city.
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