Forum Discussion
silversand
Nov 01, 2014Explorer
....you'd better be going very far south in Florida this weekend. It will be in the 30s F at least up to ~Orlando.
I've been following the ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation forecast) our 3 months (the NDF up till January), and it looks like the RGV will be solidly below normal temperatures (Florida and Georgia is predicted be near normal).
January till end of February is predicted to be below normal for Florida (all the way to the northern Keys), and all of Texas and Louisana will be substantially below normal...
If anyone would like to read the October ENSO Diagnostic Discussion (an excellent on-line paper showing how the forecast tracked with the observations), read this: here-->
I personally only subscribe to the 3 months out diagnostic (not the 4, 5 or 6 month out forcasts: an outstanding 18 hits, with only 4 misses with 3 month out for September model runs for OND, over 33 years of tracking)...
S-
I've been following the ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation forecast) our 3 months (the NDF up till January), and it looks like the RGV will be solidly below normal temperatures (Florida and Georgia is predicted be near normal).
January till end of February is predicted to be below normal for Florida (all the way to the northern Keys), and all of Texas and Louisana will be substantially below normal...
If anyone would like to read the October ENSO Diagnostic Discussion (an excellent on-line paper showing how the forecast tracked with the observations), read this: here-->
I personally only subscribe to the 3 months out diagnostic (not the 4, 5 or 6 month out forcasts: an outstanding 18 hits, with only 4 misses with 3 month out for September model runs for OND, over 33 years of tracking)...
S-
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