Forum Discussion
CVD
Aug 05, 2017Explorer
Looking at tread title (average markdown on used coach); I’ll throw out an approach I’ve been thinking about. Not 100% sure it’s reasonable, but I’d like to hear what others think.
Assumptions
1) You know original MSRP, which includes options
2) Original purchase was for 75% of that MSRP (25% discount)
3) Coach depreciated 40% in first 5 years, 60 % in 10 years.
To calculate a fair value, simply subtract 25% from MSRP to reflect the likely original purchase price, then subtract 40% from that value for a 5 yr old coach (60% for a 10 yr old coach)
Sample calculation: 5 yr old coach ($100k optioned MSRP)
100k – 25k = 75k, 75k * (1 - 40%) = 45k value
Same coach, 10 yrs old:
100k – 25k = 75k, 75k * (1- 60%) = 30k value
Disclaimer 1:I believe a more accurate yearly depreciation scale would be year 1: 15%, year 2 – 5: 10%, year 5 – 10: 5%, year 11 – 20: 2.5%. But for ball park discussion, I’ll propose 40% depreciation after 5 years, 60% after 10 years.
Disclaimer 2: This is a ball park, “sanity check” technique. It ignores trade in value vs. resale value (let’s assume this is a “private party value” calculator). It also ignores that some brands and types hold value better than others, geographic differences, etc.
Assumptions
1) You know original MSRP, which includes options
2) Original purchase was for 75% of that MSRP (25% discount)
3) Coach depreciated 40% in first 5 years, 60 % in 10 years.
To calculate a fair value, simply subtract 25% from MSRP to reflect the likely original purchase price, then subtract 40% from that value for a 5 yr old coach (60% for a 10 yr old coach)
Sample calculation: 5 yr old coach ($100k optioned MSRP)
100k – 25k = 75k, 75k * (1 - 40%) = 45k value
Same coach, 10 yrs old:
100k – 25k = 75k, 75k * (1- 60%) = 30k value
Disclaimer 1:I believe a more accurate yearly depreciation scale would be year 1: 15%, year 2 – 5: 10%, year 5 – 10: 5%, year 11 – 20: 2.5%. But for ball park discussion, I’ll propose 40% depreciation after 5 years, 60% after 10 years.
Disclaimer 2: This is a ball park, “sanity check” technique. It ignores trade in value vs. resale value (let’s assume this is a “private party value” calculator). It also ignores that some brands and types hold value better than others, geographic differences, etc.
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