Winnebago Electric Motorhome on a F-53 chassis

Chainwright wrote:

That's the Thing: In technology we will NEVER be "at the end of the curve." That's what many seem to be overlooking. Whatever strides we have made so far in the EV and alternative fuel industry DOES not stop here, today. AND Many are treating it as such. in 2030, most of the world is prohibiting the Sale of petroleum Combustion Engines. Outcome? Our Auto industry will be none existent because no one will buy OUR Cars, because they'll be Illegal.

It's not as though battery technology, or most any technology, develops smoothly. Generally there's an occasional breakthrough--a new approach or way of doing things or chemistry--and then a period of incremental improvements, which have increasingly smaller payoffs as the easy improvements have been done already. About the only technology that I can think of offhand that has somewhat bucked this general trend is microelectronics, where the progression towards more and more dense circuitry has been remarkably steady for quite a few decades...though with ever increasing development costs to maintain that.

Far more likely than internal combustion engines (and vehicle powered by them) going away, in my opinion, would be running them on non-petroleum derived fuels, such as alcohol or hydrogen or wood gas. That's not to say that many won't be served by electric vehicles, but I think they're a long way from being universal. For tooling around town and commuting electric cars make a lot more sense than they do for long-distance vacation travel or over-the-road trucking,