And Texas Caves In
The last bastion of sanity has jumped on the "stay at home" bandwagon. They just sent me an email that they have closed all state parks to save the 1% who may die from the dreaded super virus. Texas...
Forum Discussion
bid_time wrote:
Still waiting for the reliable data that 10's of millions of people will need a ventilator due to Covid-19.
P.S. Diatribes don't suffice for reliable data
I am sure there is not going to be anything reliable enough to change your mind. Testing data is sparse. Even in the NYC epicenter, testing is only available for people with symptoms and those often need to be severe. In the absence of data, 1% is being used as the estimated death rate.
In NY the number of deaths is over 5000, 18000 have been hospitalized and 4600 are currently on ventilators.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/07/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html
As a quick estimate, if the death rate is 1%, and 1/3 of the US population becomes infected, then there will be 1 million deaths and at least 3x that number will require hospitalization. Obviously no one has reliable data for what might happen. We can only guess based on what has happened so far, early on in the process.
