pianotuna wrote:
It is true, however, that Singapore is now having a "2nd wave" of infections after stopping extreme self isolation, so they are having to return to those policies.
As no one has found an effective treatment, we are left with just two options.
1. herd immunity, without a vaccine, may start having an effect at 60% of folks infected. The ugly part of that is 336 M x .6 =~ 202 M cases X 3.4% (taken by dividing today's case count into today's deaths)=~6.8 M deaths.
2. a working vaccine. There are 2 candidates in emergency human trials. Cross your fingers and toes.
You assume all 336M people get infected? Don't think there is any basis for that assumption, which makes your math exercise useless.
Mike