fj12ryder wrote:
T18skyguy wrote:
Yes, but it took them 76 days, and they have complete control of their citizens. Not at all like in this country. We depend on voluntary compliance, which has actually worked quite well. The battle between micro-organism's and macro-organism's has been going on for eons. There has probably been millions of pandemics, that's exactly why we have an immune system. An event like this "culls the herd" and makes the rest stronger. It's natural selection at work. I know it's a stark description, but it's true. The virus adapts, then we adapt. Statistically, it is not 1%. It's been averaging 2.5% to 3.5% overall. Over the course of my career, I've probably intubated about 10,000 people. It's not the way you want to leave this world. To tolerate intubation, they not only sedate you but often paralyze you with medication. So your gagging but you can't move. It's horrible. Then you die from suffocation anyway if your an unlucky one. Once they get a vaccine, and we get herd immunity, it will be more like the flu. It does look like, for the most part, they have avoided a catastrotphe that could have gone to a million or more.
Just wondering where you get your percentages. There's no way to figure percentages in a meaningful way since there's no way to know how many people have been exposed to the virus and would test positive. So that percentage has to be based on the number of people who test positive, which is very likely a small number of people who would test positive.
I've been following the worldwide meta-data sites like
this one since the beginning of all this. There are also another 5 or 6 similar sites. I see your point that there's no way to calculate all the real positives that might dilute that number, but the flip side is there's no way to calculate all that died without being counted or tested which they estimate are many. The traditional metric is total deceased divided by the number of confirmed cases. All the worldwide sites appear to be in line with whats happening in the U.S. It varies but 2.5% to 3.5% is just an average. Some places are more, some are less. Of course, in area's with people with many co-morbidity's, it will be higher. Incidentally, the site in the link above was created by a 17 year old whiz kid and it's just as good /valid as the other sites. They had him on television and he looks like he hasn't even had his first shave yet.