And Texas Caves In
The last bastion of sanity has jumped on the "stay at home" bandwagon. They just sent me an email that they have closed all state parks to save the 1% who may die from the dreaded super virus. Texas...
Forum Discussion
NJRVer wrote:rexlion wrote:pianotuna wrote:Don't you trust Dr. Fauci? Just the other day he stated that the most recent and best estimate is about 60,000 deaths, in total, from Covid-19. Never does an entire population (100%) come down with any particular disease; 15% is much more common. Even with Covid-19, coronaviruses have been around for quite some time so anyone who's had one will most likely possess partial immunity to Covid-19; this is one reason why the vast majority of those who contract the virus have only moderate, mild, or no symptoms. Case fatality rates like the 3.4% vary wildly from day to day as well as from locale to locale; they are the absolute worst number to extrapolate anything from statistically.
It is true, however, that Singapore is now having a "2nd wave" of infections after stopping extreme self isolation, so they are having to return to those policies.
As no one has found an effective treatment, we are left with just two options.
1. herd immunity, without a vaccine, may start having an effect at 60% of folks infected. The ugly part of that is 336 M x .6 =~ 202 M cases X 3.4% (taken by dividing today's case count into today's deaths)=~6.8 M deaths.
2. a working vaccine. There are 2 candidates in emergency human trials. Cross your fingers and toes.
It's very easy to panic. I understand that. Everyone should take a deep breath.... hold... and let it out slowly. Try to calm down.
So you assume just because the disease shares the word "Coronavirus" that people would have some immunity to Covid19?
That would be dead wrong thinking.
Don't you trust Dr. Fauci? Just the other day he stated that the most recent and best estimate is about 60,000 deaths, in total, from Covid-19.
I learned something interesting about this the other day. Their initial modeling of the spread assumed that 50% of the population would not comply with social distancing, which put the death toll much higher than 60,000. The American people have done a good job overall, but there's still much ahead of us, particularly in the South.
