And Texas Caves In

JRscooby wrote:

dodge guy wrote:


And 80,000 people died of the flu in 2017. I don't remember a shut down then? At the rate of 22,000 right now, that would be 66,000 by the end of the year. I don't see the issue that requires the country to be shut down.

Dodge guy, think you need to check your math;
80,000 a year means 80000/365=219 dead per day.
22,000 in 30 days is 22000/30=733 dead per day.

at that rate for a year we would loose 267,545 people. Think that would be a economic hit?

ExxWhy wrote:
So you expect the US alone will have over double the number of worldwide deaths to date? Is that with or without a shutdown?
Let's hope you are just as wrong as all the models predicting that have been.

I'm not much smarter than a box of rocks, and am not predicting anything. What I'm trying to do is show that 20,000 a month is worse than 80000 a year. I don't think any population has let it run without taking action, so we do not know how many would die without action.

Let's rephrase the question. Which will cause more economic destruction? The loss of whatever number of people you want to claim at the average age of 79 -vs- the immediate unemployment of over 10 million working age people plus the shuttering of uncounted millions of small businesses?

First, I do not think the average age of death from this in us is 79, but I can't back that up. I know we are loosing a lot Drs and nurses.
I do know it is not the loss of jobs that is causing the economic problems. It is the loss of income. With the trillions gov is willing to pass out, if US would pay, and pay quickly, the support other rich countries pay to working people, no business would be loosing their most valuable asset. The economy would go back up as fast as it dropped when things could open.
What sickens me is we did not need to close the economy or have people die.
Back decades ago, as a kid playing with a calculator, I pretended to bet a buck on the galloping domino game this site changes the name of. I, in my imagination, let that bet ride, and hit 20 times in a row. The last pass the total was over the million-1 that calculator would display.
Now BBC was reporting after Christmas, the city in China, cases where doubling every 3 days. US lack of action, not finding that first person because of not testing, 60 days later could be over a million infected in the country. On Jan 7, the first Tuesday night of the year, I told the guys playing cards we should be testing everybody getting off a overseas flight, and asking them to self isolate until results came back.