schlep1967 wrote:
Walaby wrote:
In terms of criteria to return to work, I think one of the first considerations should be the extent of the virus in a particular locale (city/county). Now, impossible really to quantify that properly without testing everyone. But, clearly, some locales are better off and less infected than others. My county has a population of 157,000(ish) and currently has 96 confirmed cases, with 6 deaths. If those numbers stay, or start downward, then I would suggest that a locale like that can be a candidate for reopening sooner rather than later.
Clearly major cities are not going to be able to open as quickly as smaller population areas. BUT, do we, as a nation, make everyone abide by the criteria applied to large and densely populated areas? I would submit the answer should be no.
Mike
While this looks good on the surface, all it would take would be one out of town traveler stopping for gas in your county, and everything could start again.
This is not going to end in the next few months. We may go back to work and out to eat but people are still going to get sick. Right know it is hitting the large cities the hardest. Not overwhelming the Hospitals in those cities is the key to keeping deaths lower. And once it is slowed in the cities it will spread to the suburbs and out into the country. And then those people will have their turn in the cities hospitals. Because there are not many hospitals out in the country.
It’s hitting the large cities the hardest because the population density is highest. It’s not as prevalent in the suburbs because it never will be, not because it hasn’t gotten spread to there yet. So someone stopping in for gas won’t change anything really as the virus has already touched most every area of the country anyway. It’s like dropping matches randomly. Some areas will fizzle out and others will turn into a wildfire.
Oregon’s first documented case was in satellite town to Portland, around 7 weeks ago. Our hospitals are far from crowded. As others have said, the same measures are not needed everywhere.
I agree that the goal has always been to lessen the burden on the medical infrastructure. In places where that has/is happening we should consider loosing the reins a bit, IMO.