Expedition Tow Vehicle - Doing the Math - Will it work?

I am going to the dealer in the morning so will get the details off the compliance certificate on the door, and I think there may be a sticker on the receiver as well that I can get more details from.

I might be a little heavy on the expedition extra cabin weights with people etc at 1,200 lbs, but want to error on the heavy side if we are really loaded up.

The expedition payload should be 7,450 - 5,623 = 1,827 lbs for payload. Will confirm what the sticker has on it in the morning.