Forum Discussion
noteven
Oct 09, 2021Explorer III
Reisender wrote:noteven wrote:
If you do the back of napkin calculation replacing gasoline use per day in the USA with electric vehicles generating capacity will have to almost double.
That doesn’t include diesel fuel for trucks, machines, and railways.
The power grid now is over 50% fossil fueled so that will need to be fixed as well.
Should be doable easy enough.
I don't know. BC Hydro started working on this back in 2015 and have different calculations than yours. We are an EV only household. Typically 16000 km per year. Our power bill is more affected by air conditioning use than EV use. Our typical commute use is under 8 KW per day which is probably typical for many, at least around here. We are also a non solar house. Those with solar around us pretty much generate all the power they need themselves on an annual basis including charging their cars, heating their homes etc.
Lots of variables. No simple answers but rather an aggregate of many.
Here is a pub BC hydro put out back in 2016. There is other interesting info on their website. Tons of new EV fast chargers in this province from about half a dozen principal players like BC Hydro, Tesla, Petro Canada, Shell, Electrify Canada, FLO etc etc. The grid will adapt and change as needed. Its a thirty year transition.
I wasn't clear I was looking at the USA. BC's and for that matter Canada's numbers don't apply to the USA.
Also houses sit still, can be built with plenty of insulation and proper situation. There were homes built on the Canadian great plains in the early 80's that are super energy efficient. But they aren't vehicles.
Accoding to the US EIA website:
"Gasoline is the main U.S. transportation fuel
In 2020, Americans used about 123 billion gallons of motor gasoline—or about 337 million gallons per day.."
My doodle calculations took gasoline x 30% efficiency through a combustion engine x equivalent energy if converted to electricity.
The number required almost equals the USA's generating capacity now (according to US EIA capacity numbers.)
I am not opposed to electric powered transportation.
I am asking what is the plan to get the generating and distribution capacity needed.
An all weather RV that could travel 400 miles on a charge and cost 1/6th of equivalent gasoline fuel cost would be a super unit.
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