agesilaus wrote:
ktmrfs wrote:
predicting the future more than 10 years from now is pretty likely to be wrong.
Often true but in this case ten years isn not that far out,
-EV are only a little more than 5% of the market right now, and that is mostly on the left coast.
-Even with massive government subsidies, EV are very expensive
-Range anxiety confirmed
-Lack of working fast chargers or any chargers for that matter
-Even fast chargers can take 45 minutes to recharge an EV vs 5 minutes inb a gas station for an ICE
-There are not enough materials: copper, lithium, cobalt, nickel and other materials to switch to all EV manufacture.
- Greenies are blocking more mining in the US and other nations of the above materials. And there aren't enough known deposits anyway.
- This current winter really showed even the EV converts the shortcomings of EV
Yes, there are lots of issues with EV's and hybrids so my point was trying to predict the mix of EV, hybrids, plug in hybrids and ICE only vehicles 10 years from now or that any of the options will disapear is an excercise in futility. It's not clear yet (at least to me) that there is any obvious winner in the options mix. They may all co exist for a long time.