Forum Discussion
SailingOn
Mar 15, 2020Explorer
A striking number of things have been cancelled leading up to pi day.
We were scheduled to leave in 2 weeks, island hopping in Greece for 10 days, then a long weekend in Vienna (culture) then two weeks in Israel.
Last week Israel shut down visitors from Italy and some other places and what was important to me, Austria. So Vienna is out.
This week Road Scholar cancelled 600 tours including ours in Greece - too many "older" folks at risk. So Greece is out.
Earlier this evening Israel shut down cafes, restaurants, museums, hotels, schools, meetings with over 10 people for the next 5 weeks. So that's out.
Our church has cancelled services, Sunday school, small groups for the next two weeks.
Across the US, we're testing (some of the) people who are sick, and isolating them if positive. We're surely missing many.
Recent observational studies strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 is being spread before people are symptomatic - see this. So, staying away from symptomatic people isn't going to work.
If 30% of us (not 50 or 70) become infected, and the mortality rate is 1% (not 2 or 3.4), a bunch of us "older" folks aren't going to make it.
So a secluded forested spot, with maybe mountains and a lake, is sounding better and better for the next couple of months.
- george
- MD, Duke, '72
We were scheduled to leave in 2 weeks, island hopping in Greece for 10 days, then a long weekend in Vienna (culture) then two weeks in Israel.
Last week Israel shut down visitors from Italy and some other places and what was important to me, Austria. So Vienna is out.
This week Road Scholar cancelled 600 tours including ours in Greece - too many "older" folks at risk. So Greece is out.
Earlier this evening Israel shut down cafes, restaurants, museums, hotels, schools, meetings with over 10 people for the next 5 weeks. So that's out.
Our church has cancelled services, Sunday school, small groups for the next two weeks.
Across the US, we're testing (some of the) people who are sick, and isolating them if positive. We're surely missing many.
Recent observational studies strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 is being spread before people are symptomatic - see this. So, staying away from symptomatic people isn't going to work.
If 30% of us (not 50 or 70) become infected, and the mortality rate is 1% (not 2 or 3.4), a bunch of us "older" folks aren't going to make it.
So a secluded forested spot, with maybe mountains and a lake, is sounding better and better for the next couple of months.
- george
- MD, Duke, '72
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