Forum Discussion
dturm
Mar 15, 2020Moderator
memtb wrote:
There is already hysteria over something far less (so far) problematic than a typical flu season.....if you want to actually look at the CDC’s own numbers!
This is faulty reasoning and dangerous. You cannot look at absolute numbers present at any one time to compare risk.
Again, THIS IS NOT LIKE TYPICAL FLU.
With typical flu we have a good percentage of the population immune because of previous infection and recovery and people immune from vaccination. We still have 10s of thousands of death every year with a mortality rate of 0.01 %.
NO ONE HAS IMMUNITY TO THIS CORONAVIRUS. Current mortality rate is calculated at around 3 %, but that is probably a little high because we have been unable to do sufficient testing. It will spread and modeling provided by epidemiologists that do this for a living predict what could happen if we do nothing. Their modeling is proving out in Italy and Spain right now.
Our best case scenario is to slow the spread so that the number of individuals needing intensive care at one time don't overwhelm our health care system.
Dr. Doug
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