I hope that no one has a camper in the Rio Grand Valley now:

....OK...the best ensemble track from the NHC this morning has the strike zone close to Corpus C (235 kilometers from storm center as I write). The QPF 5-day accumulation data from this morning has the 4 inch band very close to the RGV, and 2 to 3 inches over the RGV...

Hard to say what will happen in the RGV from overland flow from possible 10 ~ 20 inches over 5 days coming from terrain to the north into the RGV watershed. Flood gauges will show this in real time.

Also, its hard to say just how long the rains (and Harvey) will linger...it looks like Harvey will stall and spin till ~~late 28th near Corpus C.....

....I (personally) wouldn't want to be 156 straight line kilometers from a potential Cat 2 (or, 3) as Brownsville is as I write.

Your mileage may vary :B

Good luck!

To begin with good luck TomG2. I'm betting that you're in fine shape. Maybe buy some extra Tequila and mix though. ;)

What I would mostly be concerned with is the storm surge along the coast line. The lower Valley might get their feet wet some. High profile advisory is going to be in effect so if you're on the Island it could be a fun crossing to the mainland.

Port Aransas all the way up to Galveston Island might just be testing out all those new building codes that were put into place for times like this. Thinking this isn't their first Rodeo, so should be OK.

I got a trailer in storage down there. Heard that the last big Hurricane had 6 inches of standing water. This is in one of the better storage places even. Front jacks of 5'vers dug dip into the Calichie (?SP?) and tires sunk a few inches. Then they ask me why I put boards under the tires and big wood pads under the jacks. :)

TomG2 wrote:
I agree that leaving is a good idea, but the terrain of the Rio Grande Valley of Texas is nothing like that of New Orleans. For starters. there is a 100 foot difference in elevation. Which will flood worse, pumps or not? Not everyone that gets flooded out is an "idiot".

Projections right now are that Corpus Christi, Houston, and Victoria are likely to get the most rain. Where would these millions go?

They are all coming up to San Antonio. On I-37 North they have opened up the Hurricane evacuation lane. Watching the news last night the traffic was bumper to bumper on I-37. If traffic stalls today they will close Southbound I-37 and change the direction to Northbound.
And to think I wanted to go to Corpus this weekend to do some fishing.

I want to make it clear that I know there is a very dangerous storm coming to Texas. My concern is that people need to deal with facts and forecasts instead of rumor and Internet gossip. Be aware of your situation and keep safe. I have traveled from Florida to Alabama to avoid hurricanes so I am not stupid enough to disregard the warnings. I am also smart enough to do some research before jumping to conclusions. I have NEVER been in New Orleans for a hurricane and I have been there twenty times. They are still saying 1-3 inches of rain with 40 mph winds for McAllen, Texas. Which, unlike Houston, is in the RGV.

Terryallan wrote:
Was on the national news. Didn't say you were idiots. Said the ones who tried to face down Katerina were. does that apply to you?? If you have never ridden out a major hurricane. Please get ready. they are dangerous for hundreds of miles in every direction. Even as far as 300 miles inland, and away from the eye.
Good luck and Stay safe

Apparently you did not read the National Weather Service forecast for the middle of the RGV. It is NOT calling for thirty inches of rain for the RGV. You have my permission to run every time they forecast more than one inch of rain. We don't. If you get all your information from the national news, you may want to fact check them in the future.

As far as your bringing up New Orleans over and over, that is more a political statement than a weather forecast.

It might be better if people would stick to facts instead of alarmist name calling stuff.

Goodnight. No rain here.

Current predictions have the storm and most of the rain missing the Valley. If I was in Rockport, or Port Aransas I might be worrying.

TomG2 wrote:

Terryallan wrote:


"Some" parts of the Valley are expected to get up to 30" of rain. Houston can't handle that, in truth most places can't. I have been to the Valley many times. Were I there now. I would go North, and West, as far, and as fast as I could. I have seen what not even an inch will do to the area around McAllen. Makes lakes where there was none, And after seeing what 10 inches of rain did to the flat lands of NC. No way would I stay in the flat lands of Texas and try to fight 30 inches. It will flood for a hundred miles. Notice what it does with just a summer rain storm.

But, y'all do what you want.

Thanks for permission to do what we want. I wondered who was in charge of such things.

Who is saying thirty inches of rain in the RGV? Where do you get these "Facts"? Someone should tell Houston that you have moved them to the "Valley". The officials in the RGV are telling people NOT to leave. There will be rain and it may be heavy but the hurricane is supposed to hit two hundred miles north of the RGV. We are NOT idiots and we don't call people who do not agree with us names. Have a great evening.

Was on the national news. Didn't say you were idiots. Said the ones who tried to face down Katerina were. does that apply to you?? If you have never ridden out a major hurricane. Please get ready. they are dangerous for hundreds of miles in every direction. Even as far as 300 miles inland, and away from the eye.
Good luck and Stay safe

For those that care to see some actual information regarding the weather in the RGV, here is a link to the National Weather Service forecast for Alamo, Texas which is squarely in the middle of the Valley.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=26.184&lon=-98.1181#.WZ-A0LIrLrd


The national weather service never understates a threat and you notice forecasts of an inch or so of rain in the next few days.

Enjoy.

Terryallan wrote:


"Some" parts of the Valley are expected to get up to 30" of rain. Houston can't handle that, in truth most places can't. I have been to the Valley many times. Were I there now. I would go North, and West, as far, and as fast as I could. I have seen what not even an inch will do to the area around McAllen. Makes lakes where there was none, And after seeing what 10 inches of rain did to the flat lands of NC. No way would I stay in the flat lands of Texas and try to fight 30 inches. It will flood for a hundred miles. Notice what it does with just a summer rain storm.

But, y'all do what you want.

Thanks for permission to do what we want. I wondered who was in charge of such things.

Who is saying thirty inches of rain in the RGV? Where do you get these "Facts"? Someone should tell Houston that you have moved them to the "Valley". The officials in the RGV are telling people NOT to leave. There will be rain and it may be heavy but the hurricane is supposed to hit two hundred miles north of the RGV. We are NOT idiots and we don't call people who do not agree with us names. Have a great evening.

TomG2 wrote:
I agree that leaving is a good idea, but the terrain of the Rio Grande Valley of Texas is nothing like that of New Orleans. For starters. there is a 100 foot difference in elevation. Which will flood worse, pumps or not? Not everyone that gets flooded out is an "idiot".

Projections right now are that Corpus Christi, Houston, and Victoria are likely to get the most rain. Where would these millions go?

The ones in New Orleans were. They were told to leave, and did not go. Living in NC. I learned a long time ago not to try to face a Hurricane. they win every time.

"Some" parts of the Valley are expected to get up to 30" of rain. Houston can't handle that, in truth most places can't. I have been to the Valley many times. Were I there now. I would go North, and West, as far, and as fast as I could. I have seen what not even an inch will do to the area around McAllen. Makes lakes where there was none, And after seeing what 10 inches of rain did to the flat lands of NC. No way would I stay in the flat lands of Texas and try to fight 30 inches. It will flood for a hundred miles. Notice what it does with just a summer rain storm.

But, y'all do what you want.