Historical averages are a good starting place BUT the year to year variations can make a BIG difference. The forecasts is 3-5 degrees colder than normal for Waco, TX.
I agree with the above completely.
Looking at the
Two-class Monthly & Seasonal Climate Outlook for this winter (2015/2016), and bearing in mind the solidly in place El Nino, we are bracing for a MUCH colder deep south from southern Arizona (roughly -111.08 and east) all the way to the entire (most?) Florida peninsula, down to roughly Orlando and perhaps even Miami. Also, precipitation probabilities (rain, freezing rain) over average are very, very high for December, January, February, and early March for the regions of: southern Cali (much more rains), southern Arizona (rains strongly above average), southern Texas (rains and freezing rains above average), the entire Gulf Coast area (strong probability of above average rains), and the entire peninsula of Florida (all the way to the Keys). Also, the precipitation for the same winter period is forecast to be strongly above average for the entire east coast of the US and Canada. Lets see what happens. We'll be in Florida exploring the entire peninsula this deep winter regardless. What we saw in outh and North Carolina just this past week is a precursor (but not the exact same set-up) to what we can expect this winter all along the deep south if the TCMSCO pans out.
Winter precip:
here-->Winter temps:
here-->The WeatherBell winter temperature anomaly revision looks somewhat similar to the
Two-class Monthly & Seasonal Climate Outlook; especially the "normal band": in the center latitude, and the warmer northern latitudes winter temps for North America...
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