RV Production - Fuel prices - Bubble ready to burst?

At least in this area, I think RV sales will be bolstered by those priced out of the housing market and are buying, or considering buying, RVs to live in.

Media hype to drum up sales during pandemic, again the hype to encourage sales expecting prices to fall. Salesman on this forum and others laughing all the way to the bank.

Another one of those "writers" who think RVing is all about cost of RVs vs. hotels.

"The cost of filling Aller-Stead's 40-foot diesel bus has more than doubled in the last year, so the matrix now involves potentially driving and paying for a hotel room, which could cost less in certain situations."

The market has softened. Fuel prices is only a contributing factor.

Hi,

Interesting that they only did 50,000 k (30,000 miles) over 7 years. I've done 214,000 k since 2009.

I'm definitely curtailing my trips. This year, so far, I've only done 3000 k (2000 miles). There may be another 3000 in the fall--but this is all work related where hotels, if there are any, are not desirable places to stay.

But as for snowbirding this year, it will not happen. Current cost is $0.63 per kilometer in my class C.

BB_TX wrote:
At least in this area, I think RV sales will be bolstered by those priced out of the housing market and are buying, or considering buying, RVs to live in.

While there are certainly some, people buying an RV to live in are not a significant part of the new RV sales market. That's media hype where they over represent them as a scare story.

Realistically, the people you are talking about are moving into apartments or mobilehome parks.

Of course, I'm betting the realestate market takes a dump in the next 6-12 months (maybe sooner)

The article does not seem to have any facts to back up what "could" or "may" happen. I don't have any facts either way, but in my area high gas prices do not seem to have any impact. The traffic is worse than ever. Drivers are certainly not slowing down to conserve gas. Starting with Covid, the traffic cops stopped pulling people over for speeding. The flow of traffic on the Interstates still is about 20 mph over the posted speed limit.

When/if the RV bubble bursts, maybe the tow vehicle bubble will follow. Wouldn't complain if I could find a new truck w/o a year long wait.

Been a surge. I expect a transitional decline to a more sustainable level. Not going to "burst"
This for both RV purchase and fuel prices.

Josh Haylett now of Bish's RV went over this in his last industry update. The good news is that most of the parts shortages are now resolved so no more units going out with stuff missing or swapped for crappier components. Dune manufacturers are reducing shifts, some are laying workers off, and a few are just slowing the lines down which should hopefully up their quality to pre-pandemic rates. The nearly monthly wholesale cost increases have stopped, but the manufacturers haven't brought back the dealer volume but discounts yet, that'll likely happen this fall when orders slow even more, that's when new and therefore used pricing will quickly fall (it'll be interesting to see where they land, like gas prices I bet they settle higher than they did before this all started).