way2roll wrote:
The biggest thing I took away from the video isn't the shortcomings of the truck, but rather the infrastructure - or lack thereof. Inconsistencies in charging networks, where stations are, the rate of charge at stations, rate of pricing, logistics to actually find stations etc. This is the Achilles of EV - especially long distance travel. That will eventually get fixed though. But it won't address inconsistencies in network and pricing. I smell government regulation and when that happens how will EV's be any better or cheaper to drive/own than an ICE? Power will be regulated and taxed just like gas. Based on the video, the price to charge didn't seem like a big win over gas fueling especially when you consider your time (time = money).
Once EVs make up more than 1% of the market, we will see charging sort itself out (yes I'm exaggerating a bit and it will still take several years).
Right now, charging stations are largely subsidized to push the agenda along rather than the market driving it. Get to 20-30% EVs and the market will solve it because it's profitable to solve it.
I can see EVs taking over a large percentage of the vehicle market. Certain niches they are already there (school busses, local delivery vans, commuter cars). Long haul trucking, RVs, folks who do a lot of driving each day...we are going to see ICE retained as the primary propulsion system for a very long time.
Yes, there will be exceptions but it's just not viable with current technology.
PS: One interesting question. The bulk of gasoline is used by commuter cars. If we convert those over, there will be a surplus of gasoline. The main reason trucks originally went diesel is it was a cheaper fuel. Will we start to see trucks fitted with gasoline engines (yes, you can make durable high power gasoline engines...it just wasn't a priority when diesel was a cheaper option).