Forum Discussion
Reisender
Dec 23, 2020Nomad
valhalla360 wrote:ppine wrote:
Diesel engines may remain relevant for longer than people imagine. We will be developing several kinds of biofuels including fuel from algae and many others. Eventually they will be much cheaper than pulling fossil fuels out of the ground.
The flaw in the idea diesel will stay but gasoline will go is when you refine a barrel of crude oil, part comes out diesel and part comes out gasoline (among other things). There is some ability to vary what comes out of the refineries but not 100% one or the other...so there will still be gasoline coming out.
If the number of gas engine vehicles drop in number, gasoline will drop in price and the market will respond by switching from diesel to gasoline.
Realistically even by 2035, 100% isn't going to happen. It might be 50-80% but as we capture the easy conversions (ie: commuter only cars), it will become more and more difficult to cover the rest.
PS: when we talk about electricity production there is good and bad with EVs. Actual production will need to increase but production facilities (power plants) may not need to expand as much. Much can be done by charging when demand is low increasing the utilization of the power plants. For most practical purposes solar/wind are just a different type of power plant...though currently causing a lot of issues to the grid. Widespread EVs can mitigate that to a large degree because they can absorb excess demand when it's a sunny/windy day. In the long run, if those vehicles can feed back power into the grid, it could even drop the baseline power plant capability needed.
Informative observation. Especially on that gas/diesel thing.
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