I also would go with the longer, easier 2 shorten if needed & I assume cheaper than replacing if too short. Some box trailers are a bit short in the tongue for the box width as far as turning in my opinion.
I had measured ours with camper off, ended up too long and also cut it shorter. Because the Torklift Superhitch dual tubes fit so nice (and figured Id screw up relationship of holes when redrilling), I removed the chain plate and reinforcing ring and cut that end of tubes. Only one hole to mis-drill..
Other consideration is elevation & extension between plugged in ball mount and camper bumper- our trucks a bit tall so Im using straight or drop so was able to shorten T/L stinger flush to camper bumper. But its just a lot easier to 'see' where you really want/need it with the camper on hand-so again I'd go long.