JRscooby wrote:
I might of missed it, but the only reason to not have the "Shelter in Place" order is "people losing jobs". But that does not make sense, because people doing the important work are still doing it. What we really need to do is have as many people as possible stay home but protect their income
Yes, you missed it. Several times. That's not the only reason.
1 - People will become more unhealthy due to stay at home orders.
2 - People will die due to stay at home orders. Really.
Of course, the selfish cowards who are already unhealthy don't care about those other people; they only care about themselves. Well, I don't care about them, either. It's their own fault that they are fat, diabetic, and hooked up to a CPAP machine.
How will people become unhealthy and die due to stay at home orders? There are 2 principal causes, but there are surely others.
1 - People will exercise less (it's happening to me) and that will continue for some after life returns to normal. It's much easier for a human to quit an exercise program than to start an exercise program.
2 - Some people who are living paycheck to paycheck will fall into despair and depression and turn to alcohol and drugs and some of them will die due to overdoses, suicide, and other related health problems.
It is immoral to trade one group of innocent lives to save another group of lives even if the other group of lives is larger, which it may not be in this case. (The numbers below are estimates for the US only)
I'd estimate about 100 million Americans exercise regularly. Gyms are closed and some parks are closed and you want them to stay in the house and hide under their bed. No exercise there.
If 1% (that's conservative) of those people stop exercising forever, that's 1 million people. It's much easier to stop a program of regular exercise than it is to start one. Regular exercise probably extends life by about 5 healthy years on average. That's 5 million lifeyears that are lost.
Stay at home might save 100,000 lives from COVID-19. Those lives belong mostly to old, unhealthy people so you may have saved 5 years of life on average. That's 500,000 lifeyears.
Congratulations stay at home folks; you just traded 5 million lifeyears to save 500,000 lifeyears. What other brilliant ideas do you have?
The problem is we are letting scientists make public policy. Some great leaders are in fact saying "We will let science tell us when to re-open our state." That is a bad idea. Scientists should not make public policy. The public should make public policy. That's why it's called "public policy". We should listen to the scientists, but that's not the only factor.
Scientists don't know what is best for society. They only know science. That is not the same thing. You have to consider a lot of factors like the economy and all aspects of health to know what is best for society. If you let scientists make public policy we would spend all our money on a rocket to Pluto.