Huntindog wrote:
map40 wrote:
Huntindog wrote:
A few days ago the Wall Street Journal had an article about what it presently takes for renewables to supply power 24/7.
Apparently it has been done on a small scale in several locations. The common theme was that it takes 3 times the capacity of a conventional power plant AND an incredible amount of batteries to achieve the level of reliability we are used to. They flat out concluded that it cannot be done with todays technology.. It would take too much real estate and cost way too much.
So we are going headlong down a road that presently has a bad ending.
Will a better way be developed?..... Maybe and maybe not. One thing is certain. Companies will only continue down this road if makes financial sense. Presently Governments are providing enough incentives to make it so. But even they cannot afford to do this at the level it will take to be green. One thing is certain. Buisinesses will not shoulder the cost alone, as long as they know it is not the ultimate solution. As they would be loath to pay for all the stranded costs of a failed experiment IF a better way forward is found.
There are a many reports in favor as there are against them. If what the reports against it say is true, why are all automakers going into it? NO AUTOMAKER WOULD GO INTO EVS IF THE REAL CASE WAS THAT BAD. Will it replace ICEs? NO WAY, THE TECHNOLOGY IN ITS CURRENT PATH CAN'T. When we learn to evaluate things objectively with no preconceptions or politics we will understand that EVs are just a variant type of vehicle that thanks to the advance of technology is now getting into the masker after 140 of being invented (remember, EVs are older than ICEs).
The automakers are being forced into it by the govt. with a carrot and stick aproach. The head of Toyota has pubilicly stated that the present path cannot succeed. He also said that many others in the biz say the same thing privately.
I installed solar on my RV. I think it is cool to be able to run a lot of my RV off of it. But seeing what it took for just my RV... I just cannot see how it can scale up to replace the power generation we now enjoy... Especially with the way we waste power.
Think about this: There are many companies with warehouses full of computers running nonstop.... To make imaginary money!
It is so bad that Musk stopped taking bit coin because of the amount of electricity being consumed to produce it!
I spent 15 years in the automotive industry. I was there when that stupid idea of implementing the Diesel Particle Filter was negotiated, when GM and Chrysler went bankrupt, when the UAW had to buy Chrysler and suddenly became what they spent a lifetime fighting and I was there when Marchionne scammed $3B from GM and when he and the UAW signed off Chrysler to Fiat. I learned one thing, nobody forces the automakers to do anything.
I agree that the current path can't succed if you believe that this is the final point, I was there when the EV revolution started and the numbers did not make sense either.
But that is the point. EVs are just one step in the evolution of the industry. I won't take over but it won't die either.
But it is a necesary step. ICEs are not efficient for certain scenarions. City traffic, conmutting, stop and go and similar all are perfect applications for a more efficient platform, and EVs are 3 times better in those situations. There is no debate or argument, it is what the data says.
Solar is a different problem all toghether. I have installed 10 different solar/battery systems with the biggest battery banks and inverters I have seen in an RV (All for friends, 3Kw of solar, 30Kw battery banks, 10Kw Split-phase inverters) and in all cases Solar was just a fraction of the needed power. But is there, and is convenient for some people. Not for me. I only have 4 pannels in my roof so my batteries are charged and my residential fridge runs, but I charge my batteries with a portable generator, that costs me a 10th of the diesel generator that I had and if it brakes down I can replace for $200 and not worry about repairing.
At the end, we can't stop the EVs because they are cheaper to own than ICEs for some applications. While that remains true, they will continue to grow.
Now, trucks? I don't see it that easy. The heavier the application, the more difficult that becomes.