Anyone canceling trips due to Corona virus?

[garyp4951]

I've got several trips planned, and some are at music festivals, so I'm trying to decide what to do. I see SBySW has cancelled, and afraid there will be more to do the same.
We just got our first case in Memphis today.

[2oldman]

memtb wrote:
Our biggest concern is being “stuck” away from home

Yeah, me too. I'm in So CA and need to get to NM soon. I can't imagine driving being restricted, but who knows? Kind of a nightmare scenario.

[dturm]

memtb wrote:
There is already hysteria over something far less (so far) problematic than a typical flu season.....if you want to actually look at the CDC’s own numbers!

This is faulty reasoning and dangerous. You cannot look at absolute numbers present at any one time to compare risk.

Again, THIS IS NOT LIKE TYPICAL FLU.

With typical flu we have a good percentage of the population immune because of previous infection and recovery and people immune from vaccination. We still have 10s of thousands of death every year with a mortality rate of 0.01 %.

NO ONE HAS IMMUNITY TO THIS CORONAVIRUS. Current mortality rate is calculated at around 3 %, but that is probably a little high because we have been unable to do sufficient testing. It will spread and modeling provided by epidemiologists that do this for a living predict what could happen if we do nothing. Their modeling is proving out in Italy and Spain right now.

Our best case scenario is to slow the spread so that the number of individuals needing intensive care at one time don't overwhelm our health care system.

Dr. Doug

[memtb]

YES! But, “not” from our fears of getting the “bug”! We had a little 3500 mile (round trip) vacation planned, to visit family and friends....and watch two of our grandsons play baseball for a highly ranked 5A HS baseball team. Schools are closing, and baseball stopped for foreseeable future! 😠 Hopefully, we can “catch” (pun intended), some games when this craziness is over!

Our biggest concern is being “stuck” away from home “if” the SHTF scenario starts. There is already hysteria over something far less (so far) problematic than a typical flu season.....if you want to actually look at the CDC’s own numbers! If we were full-timers, there would be little to no concerns. But, in a worst case scenario.......I want to be safe, secure, well fed, and away from the masses. So......we’ll ride it out at the “compound”! memtb

[SailingOn]

A striking number of things have been cancelled leading up to pi day.
We were scheduled to leave in 2 weeks, island hopping in Greece for 10 days, then a long weekend in Vienna (culture) then two weeks in Israel.
Last week Israel shut down visitors from Italy and some other places and what was important to me, Austria. So Vienna is out.
This week Road Scholar cancelled 600 tours including ours in Greece - too many "older" folks at risk. So Greece is out.
Earlier this evening Israel shut down cafes, restaurants, museums, hotels, schools, meetings with over 10 people for the next 5 weeks. So that's out.
Our church has cancelled services, Sunday school, small groups for the next two weeks.
Across the US, we're testing (some of the) people who are sick, and isolating them if positive. We're surely missing many.
Recent observational studies strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 is being spread before people are symptomatic - see this. So, staying away from symptomatic people isn't going to work.
If 30% of us (not 50 or 70) become infected, and the mortality rate is 1% (not 2 or 3.4), a bunch of us "older" folks aren't going to make it.
So a secluded forested spot, with maybe mountains and a lake, is sounding better and better for the next couple of months.
- george
- MD, Duke, '72

[Walaby]

Heading to Charleston Monday AM. Staying at Charleston AFB Fam Camp. Called them today, and they said they are open, no restrictions.

Mike

[MEXICOWANDERER]

From what I read in JAMA and other institutional public digests (Merck manual). There's a whole lot more going on than pure research about innoculations.

Much study is being conducted about septis. Drug cocktails that include Levofloxacin will save many lives. Inhalers to mitigate lung damage. And HIV related medicines that inhibit the pathogen directly.

So hang in there. Remember drug companies can make billions of dollars with significant finds.

[Me_Again]

Our plan was to leave Az on April 19th and head to Texas to see Big Bend National Monument, San Antonio, Galveston, Waco, Dallas and then head North. Probably we are going to abandon this trip and stay in Arizona until early May and decide if we stay the summer or go to our park North of Seattle for 3 or 4 months. We have options. Our park here in Az is shutting down activities, bars and restaurants starting Monday. Chris

[garyp4951]

I think I’ll re install the bidet I removed when remodeling. lol

[memtb]

If you’re concerned about travel during this time of “crisis”..... crucial items can be home/ campground delivered! :B memtb

[2oldman]

dturm wrote:
This is a virus where 70-150,000,000 US citizens could be infected according to modeling. No one has immunity to this virus, it is very contagious, and we have no vaccine.

x2.

Things change quickly with this, so peeps should stay informed instead of accepting overly optimistic internet advice.

[dturm]

buc1980 wrote:

Terryallan wrote:

Naio wrote:
I figure I'm going to get it. I just don't want to get it before I am home. I don't want to be dependent on the kindness of strangers. And I want to be able to take care of my family when they get it.

Why do you think you are going to get it? there are over 334 million people in the US. What makes you so sure that you will be part of the .0001 percent that will get it????

And over 80% of the ones that do get it recover with out any medical treatment. Man don't panic. Stop watching CNN. live your life. You are in no more danger than you were in December

I total agree with that.

Terry's figures are wrong. This is not a situation where .0001 percent will get it (BTW where did this figure come from???)

This is a virus where 70-150,000,000 US citizens could be infected according to modeling. No one has immunity to this virus, it is very contagious, and we have no vaccine.

The only way we can modify the effects this will have is to mitigate spread. The more people with this attitude that don't take the precautions, the more likely the worst case will happen.

Dr. Doug

[time2roll]

With venues closing we have cancelled a trip that was by air.
Probably take the RV out local instead.

[garyp4951]

Thanks

[buc1980]

Terryallan wrote:

Naio wrote:
I figure I'm going to get it. I just don't want to get it before I am home. I don't want to be dependent on the kindness of strangers. And I want to be able to take care of my family when they get it.

Why do you think you are going to get it? there are over 334 million people in the US. What makes you so sure that you will be part of the .0001 percent that will get it????

And over 80% of the ones that do get it recover with out any medical treatment. Man don't panic. Stop watching CNN. live your life. You are in no more danger than you were in December

I total agree with that.

[3_dog_nights]

Cancelled today, Month of April in Myrtle Beach SC