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rk911 wrote:When you consider a loan at 4% ยฑ vs. a well balanced stock and bond portfolios long term average annual return of 7.5% the risk is pretty low. The other side of the coin is, you haven't considered the risk that a period of high inflation could keep moving that target just out of your reach. Then it becomes like the carrot and stick, you can never quite catch that carrot. Seems to me the risks are about the same either way.wing_zealot wrote:
Here's my scenario. About 14 years ago I bought my last camper. I financed at 4.2 percent. I kept the "cash" invested. Over the 12 year life of that loan my "cash" earned over 7 percent average annualized return. I am ahead about 5 percent per year. Paying cash forme would have been dumb.
your math works except you haven't taken risk into the equation. risk that your income stream will slip or disappear; risk that something else in life will rear its ugly head necessitating a change. risk. my wife and I were "normal" for a long time. car loans; RV loan, this loan, that loan. then, as Dave Ramsey would call us, we became weird. we paid off the house, started paying cash for cars and yes, we saved, saved, saved for what will likely be our last MH and paid cash for it. the other end of that stick is save, invest, save and then invest more. live beneath your means so later you can pretty much do as you please.
โApr-19-2017 04:43 AM
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โApr-18-2017 11:07 PM
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โApr-18-2017 08:34 PM
westernrvparkowner wrote:
The vast majority of Americans can and do use credit responsibly. The Dave Ramsey approach is similar to Alcoholics Anonymous, Gamblers Anonymous and Narcotics Anonymous. There are people who cannot handle Alcohol, betting, drugs, and yes, money. For that segment of the population, total abstinence is often a great solution. However, for each Alcoholic, each compulsive gambler and each drug addict there are hundreds of people who drink alcohol, go to casinos or take pain medication without spiraling out of control. The same with credit. Used properly credit allows us to buy houses, invest and grow businesses and yes, get some instant gratification. And the vast majority of those people who have used credit to buy RVs do not end up eating cat food in their senior years.
โApr-18-2017 08:18 PM
kohai wrote:
You're assuming it is an either/or scenario: either I buy it now or I wait 10 years and pay cash and miss the opportunity. That's a false dichotomy.
How about a third option? Find a way to pay cash, sell something, get a second job for awhile, spend less on other stuff. The average car payment in America is over $500 a month -- drive something else.
Your interest rate calculates out to 3.3ish. What if someone with less than quality credit does this at 8 percent - 10 percent? Is it still a good idea? What if it's a $80,000 trailer instead of $14,000? Still a good idea? Your scenario is a bit of a straw man argument.
What if you had invested that $4,000 over a 10 year period? That's missed opportunity not included in your calculations. You really missed out on $4,000 plus what you could have done with that $4,000 to make more money.
As my grandmother said about interest, those that understand it
get to receive it and those that don't understand it get to pay it.
โApr-18-2017 08:13 PM
westernrvparkowner wrote:
The vast majority of Americans can and do use credit responsibly. The Dave Ramsey approach is similar to Alcoholics Anonymous, Gamblers Anonymous and Narcotics Anonymous. There are people who cannot handle Alcohol, betting, drugs, and yes, money. For that segment of the population, total abstinence is often a great solution. However, for each Alcoholic, each compulsive gambler and each drug addict there are hundreds of people who drink alcohol, go to casinos or take pain medication without spiraling out of control. The same with credit. Used properly credit allows us to buy houses, invest and grow businesses and yes, get some instant gratification. And the vast majority of those people who have used credit to buy RVs do not end up eating cat food in their senior years.
โApr-18-2017 07:56 PM